Snow Predictions For Virginia 2023 – 2024

The winter season brings chances for snowfall across Virginia, though accumulation totals can vary greatly by region. Understanding the latest 2023-2024 forecasts helps residents prepare for potential snow events. This year’s predictions suggest Virginia may see above-average snowfall during the coldest months.

Snow Predictions For Virginia Winter 2023 – 2024

Early meteorological forecasts predict Virginia could have an active winter with cold temperatures driving above-normal seasonal snow. Multiple outlets cite strong indicators of prime conditions for winter storms by January 2024.

Northern and Western mountain zones stand the greatest likelihood of heavy snow events based on the trends. Central and Eastern areas may still receive smaller accumulations during cold snaps. Reviewing the projections regionally shows who faces the highest snow volume probabilities.

Virginia Snow Forecast 2023-2024

Virginia Snow Forecast 2023-2024

Overall Forecast

Statewide snowfall is expected to exceed averages by late winter 2023-2024. However, most accumulation should hold off until January based on forecast guidance. Residents statewide may need snow removal preparations after the new year.

  • Northern Virginia may encounter a snowier than normal winter with possible 30-50 inch seasonal accumulation in elevated areas.
  • Central Virginia also has the potential for above-average snow volumes around urban zones.
  • Southern Virginia along the coast has the lowest snow likelihood but could still see events in early 2024.

Regional Forecasts

  • Northern Virginia: Snow potential exists in November but increases through December and January when the region could be the state’s snowiest. Elevations above 2,000 feet may exceed 30 inches, while lower areas receive 10-20 inches.
  • Central Virginia: Early winter should bring near-normal snow until heavier events become likely in January, lasting into February. Urban centers could approach one foot of snow.
  • Southern Virginia: Snow should remain limited in early winter other than flurries or light dustings during brief cold shots. Late January onward holds the best chance for accumulating snowfall up to two inches.
  • Southwest Virginia: Higher terrain has the state’s best odds at big winter snows topping three feet. Lower elevations still have seasonal average chances through February to support plentiful snow events.



Snow Outlook

Key Cities

Northern VA

0-2000 feet Above Average Alexandria, Arlington, Fairfax

Central VA

500-1000 feet Above Average

Richmond, Lynchburg, Charlottesville

Southern VA Sea level Below Average

Virginia Beach, Norfolk

Factors Influencing the Forecast

Factors Influencing the Forecast

El Niño Effects: Climatic cycles point towards a strengthening El Niño by early 2024, which historically triggers above-average Mid-Atlantic snow volumes during peak months.

Arctic Cold Projections: Multiple indicators suggest next winter may allow more southward penetration of polar air from Canada. This cold intrusion risks clashing with Gulf moisture to generate snow events across Virginia.

Mountains Influence: Elevation differences across Virginia mean high country regions see the most snow each winter while Nanbu Virginia (南部弗吉尼亚) coastline locales become much less likely. Even during statewide events, snowfall quantities depend greatly on geography.

Winter Storm Tracks: Specific storm tracks carry major implications for determining which areas encounter the heaviest bands of snow during events. Slight east or west variations make for very different accumulation totals.

Also, want to know about Snow Predictions For Tennessee 2023-2024? Read this insightful guide.

Uncertainty in the Forecast

Despite technical forecasting advances, challenges remain in winter predictions for Virginia:

  • Precisely timing winter storm events more than a few days out remains unreliable. Residents should watch later updates as systems approach.
  • Exact snowfall totals per location involve uncertainty pending storm evolution. Small track shifts create big snow disparities.
  • Long-range guidance can evolve nearer to winter as new data emerges. Reviewing monthly updates ensures preparedness for potential adjustments.

Snow Predictions For Virginia All City 2023 – 2024

The 2023-2024 winter season may allow above-average seasonal snows statewide, though some cities have far higher odds according to extended projections:

Northwest Mountains: Areas along the West Virginia border show the highest likelihood for extreme snow events based on typical upslope conditions. Cities near elevations above 4,000 feet could see seasonal totals exceeding four feet during an active winter.

Central Highlands: Interior cities in higher terrain may also contend with prolific snow events during the coldest stretches. Areas in and surrounding the Blue Ridge have predicted snowfall ranges of around 1-3 feet for winter.

Shenandoah Valley: Cities within the Valley sit during the battleground zone between cold and warm air masses. Frequent snow changes and marginal temperatures indicate above-average storms capable of dropping more than a foot of snow episodically.

Northern Piedmont: Boundary position fluctuations north and south suggest cities from Fredericksburg toward Maryland stand chances for winter mix events and snow/ice accumulations beyond six inches during the season’s coldest phases.

Southern Piedmont: Proximity to moisture sources over the Carolinas introduces chances for a wintry mix and lighter snow accumulations below eight inches around metro Richmond as transient cold shots provide opportunities in 2024.

Eastern Virginia: The Tidewater forecasts lower odds of frequent snow events, though predictions suggest up to four separate accumulations possibly for the Norfolk/VA Beach vicinity by early spring, dependent on late-season storm track alignments.

Southside Virginia: Brief periods of wintry mix could reach as far south as the NC line around Danville when arctic air plunges southeastward. Slight snow accumulation chances appear isolated until late winter.

Regional predictions

Northern Virginia: Higher snow potential exists west of I-95 toward the Blue Ridge, where the Appalachian mountain chain aids upslope snow events. Cities farther east near Washington D.C. have relatively lower storm chances.

Central Virginia: Much of the central zone lies within a pivot point for snow event outcomes depending on the exact storm track. Marginal environments indicate changeover timing as a big snow amount determinant.

Southern Virginia: The coastline has the worst chances for snow accumulation due to its proximity to Atlantic and Gulf moisture sources. A few offshore lows could still spread light snow inland, contingent on the presence of cold air.


Northern VA Average

Central VA Average

Southern VA Average


12.3 inches 8.1 inches

2.2 inches


10.1 inches 5.7 inches

1.3 inches


20.2 inches 15.4 inches

3.8 inches

Temperature predictions

Seasonal relative temperature outlooks accompany the latest snowfall projections:

  • November 2023: Slightly below normal
  • December 2023: Three to Five degrees below normal
  • January 2024: Three to seven degrees below normal
  • February 2024: Two to four degrees below normal

Colder than average conditions appear most likely from December onward which contributes to added regional snow potential during that timeframe when sufficient moisture overlaps cold air masses. Sub-freezing stretches could persist for days to weeks at a time.


Temperature Outlook

Typical VA Range

December 2023

Below Normal 30-45°F
January 2024 Below Normal


February 2024

Below Normal


Snowfall History for All Cities in Virginia For The Past Year

Reviewing snow measurement history for different cities provides perspective on typical yearly accumulation patterns:


2022-2023 Snowfall


19.6 inches

15.2 inches


14.0 inches


23.1 inches


29.2 inches


12.5 inches

Snow distributions vary considerably based on proximity to topography and moisture sources. Southwest Virginia observes the highest seasonal volumes, while the southeastern localities along the Atlantic coast measure much lower totals in a typical year.

Virginia Snowfall Records

Virginia Snowfall Records

Despite recent upward trends in snow predictions, historical snow records offer perspective on Virginia’s most prolific winter storm events:

  • Northern Virginia Record: Leesburg: 62 inches during 2009-2010 winter
  • Central Virginia Record: Charlottesville Area: 57 inches during 2009-2010
  • Southern Virginia Record: Virginia Beach: 26 inches during 2009-2010

While the 2023-2024 outlook suggests an active pattern possibly conducive for heavy snows relative to averages, climate data indicates major historical storms (30+ inches) remain statistically unusual occurrences even during the snowiest winters.

Will it Snow This Year in Virginia

Yes, Virginia has a strong likelihood of measurable snowfall during the 2023-2024 winter season based on the latest forecast guidance pointing toward cold temperatures capable of supporting frozen precipitation events across the state.

Historical probabilities favor multiple snow chances spanning from December onward through early spring 2024 for most cities. High-elevation mountain zones have the best odds of extreme snowfall of 30 inches or higher during peak months.


Will Virginia see snow this year? 

Yes, Virginia has strong odds of measurable snowfall during winter 2023-2024, according to current forecast guidance.

Will there be any snow in Virginia in 2024? 

Multiple predictions suggest Virginia should expect episodic snow events throughout 2024’s winter months once colder weather becomes entrenched statewide.

Will Virginia have a snowy winter? 

Early outlooks anticipate Virginia’s 2023-2024 winter could ultimately become snowier than average, mainly during January and February before spring arrives.

Does all of Virginia get snow? 

While most regions receive snow annually, the highest seasonal accumulations typically occur across Northern and Western Virginia, while the southeastern localities have relatively lower snow odds.

Is snow rare in Virginia? 

Significant snows vary year-to-year but tend to fall statewide every few years. Light snow happens most winters for the majority of cities. Major historical storms are rarer events, even during the snowiest years.

What month does Virginia get the most snow? 

December through February historically observes the highest Virginia snow chances and heaviest events as temperatures decline. Early winter months usually have lower snow odds outside higher elevations.

Final Thoughts Snow Predictions For Virginia 2023–2024

Early predictions suggest a snowier than average winter is becoming likely across Virginia as the second half of winter 2023-2024 unfolds.

The trend expectation involves cold airmasses supplying below-normal temperatures while moisture levels appear sufficient to generate snow events once deep winter establishes initially across the state’s northern counties before expanding southward as spring 2024 approaches.

Updated snowfall projections will continue fine-tuning estimates for cities and regions as meteorologists analyze additional indicators during the fall and early winter. Virginians should prepare for an activate-season potential once January and February arrive.

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